What Happens When...
TSMC fabs go dark - 92% of advanced chips vanish overnight
Apple/Tesla production halts -- $2.1T market cap erased
Intel captures monopoly pricing -- 300% margins on legacy nodes
400 container ships stranded -- $9.6B inventory frozen at sea
European shelves empty -- panic buying creates artificial shortages
Panama Canal becomes strategic chokepoint — pricing power shifts
Import costs double -- retail margins collapse to zero
Mass nearshoring begins -- Mexico real estate spikes 240%
Domestic manufacturing renaissance -- but labor costs kill profitability
$800B vaporized from tech valuations -- VC funding freezes
AI talent exodus -- senior engineers available at 40% discount
Only revenue-generating AI survives -- hype cycle resets to fundamentals
340 rural hospitals close -- care deserts expand
Medical device payments default -- supply chain tightens
Private equity swoops in -- healthcare real estate at 35 cents on dollar
340 rural Mining licenses suspended -- commodity prices spike 180%hospitals close -- care deserts expand
Nationalization wave begins -- foreign assets seized
Black market emerges -- competitors who adapt gain 5-year lead
$2.4B daily trade stops -- cross-border plants idle
Nearshoring strategy collapses -- scramble for Asian alternatives
Automation becomes survival requirement -- labor arbitrage dead
Credit markets seize -- $1.3T in revolving credit called
Contagion spreads to 14 regional banks -- liquidity crisis
Fire sale M&A targets at 25% book value -- strategic buyout window
South Asian airspace closed -- supply chains reroute through Singapore
Manufacturing exodus from region -- Vietnam/Bangladesh gain capacity
Defense spending surge creates 8-year contractor backlog
Middle East trade corridors open -- transit times cut 40%
Regional tech partnerships emerge -- Tel Aviv-Riyadh axis forms
Energy price volatility drops -- long-term infrastructure bets viable again
Northern routes shut down -- Asia-Europe adds 11 days transit
Suez/Panama capacity maxed out -- freight costs up 320%
Emissions compliance becomes moat -- small carriers bankrupted
Current encryption obsolete -- financial systems vulnerable
Cybersecurity budgets triple overnight -- talent war begins
Post-quantum cryptography winners capture $400B market
Brent crude hits $160/barrel -- energy costs explode
European industry shutdowns begin -- rationing introduced
Renewable energy ROI compresses from decade to 30 months
Today. Tomorrow. In six months.
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